Pig butchering scams are exploding
2024 is set to be a record year for scammers who received at least US$9.9 billion in crypto revenues from their illicit activities, according to Chainalysis. This figure is projected to rise to an all-time high of $12.4 billion as ongoing analysis uncovers more fraudulent activity.
These findings are part of Chainalysis’ research into scams, highlighting high-yield investment scams (50%) and pig butchering (33%) as the two most prevalent fraud and scams.
Pig butchering scams surge in 2024
Interestingly, despite pulling in half of all scam revenue in 2024, high-yield investment scam inflows declined by 36% YoY. On the other hand, pig butchering revenue increased by almost 40% YoY, and the number of deposits to pig butchering scams grew nearly 210% YoY, potentially indicating an expansion of the victim pool. Conversely, the average deposit amount to pig butchering scams declined 55% YoY.
“The combination of lower payment amounts and increased deposits could indicate a change in strategy for pig butchering scams. Scammers could be spending less time priming targets, and therefore, receiving smaller payments, in exchange for targeting more victims,” said Jacqueline Burns Koven, Head of Cyber Threat Intelligence at Chainalysis.
This evolution of scammers’ strategies is further evidenced in the growing number of employment or work-from-home scams researchers observed. Though employment scam inflows represented less than 1% of total on-chain value that scams received last year, thousands of people have unwittingly paid into fake job platforms.
A major contributor to the growth in pig butchering and employment scams is the ongoing ‘industrialisation’ of the fraud ecosystem, epitomised in the $375.9 million in cryptocurrency payments made to scam technology vendors on Huione Guarantee (an online forum and P2P marketplace) in 2024 alone, one of the most prolific marketplaces for illicit tools and services.
AI technology fuels growth in crypto scams
When comparing crypto flows from 2021 through 2024 based on a compound annual growth rate, Huione scam infrastructure providers’ revenue has increased exponentially, with AI service vendors’ revenue growing by 1900%, indicating an explosion in the use of AI technology to facilitate scams. These AI vendors offer technology that helps scammers impersonate others or generate realistic content that tricks victims.
Through 2024, Chainalysis also tracked nearly $95 million in crypto payments to data vendors on the marketplace. These vendors sell stolen data such as personally identifiable information that bad actors can exploit for illicit purposes, often with information on “quick kill” targets i.e. potential victims who are most susceptible to being scammed.
“With easy access to comprehensive victim databases, and AI-powered tools, scammers are better equipped than ever. It’s time to move past the outdated notion of scammers as unsophisticated opportunists and recognise fraud as the thriving, highly organised ecosystem it is today. Effectively disrupting and dismantling it will require a coordinated effort from regulators, law enforcement, and the private sector,” added Koven.
“Both fraud detection and compliance rely on granular, real-time data. Efforts to combat scams must focus on both prevention and enforcement, requiring stronger investigative resources and greater enablement of government agencies and local authorities. As scams continue to evolve, investigators need access to deeper intelligence, faster insights, and specialized expertise to detect and disrupt these emerging threats,” Koven concluded.